Trump’s April 1, 2026 address gave markets no clean exit path, promised another two to three weeks of hard strikes, and left investors facing higher oil, weaker risk appetite, and no real clarity on Hormuz. Brent jumped back above $109 and global equities sold off on April 2
I sold everything last Friday, apart from one non Middle East oil position, and in this video I explain why I think the market is still uninvestable right now.
Trump’s latest Iran speech did not calm markets. It pointed to more strikes, more mess, more volatility, and no fast return to normal. So in this video I walk through how I am thinking about it, why bear market rallies fool people, why buy and hold investors may simply carry on, and why more active investors need hygiene, discipline, and patience.
I also explain the one thing that matters most in markets, how to DCA out as well as in, why fiddling and gambling is a bad idea in this kind of tape, and what exact signal I am waiting for before I re enter.
This is not about drama. It is about process.
Mess first. Calm later.
Volatility first. Trends later.
Trump said on April 1 that the U.S. was nearing its “core strategic objectives” in Iran, but also threatened more strikes over the next two to three weeks, while leaving the path for reopening the Strait of Hormuz unclear. Markets reacted on April 2 with oil surging above $109 and equities falling again.
